Dilikoglu ResearchIDEAS. ANALYSIS. PERSPECTIVE.

INDEPENDENT EQUITY RESEARCH · LITE

LITE — Investment dashboard

Scenario valuation, operating assumptions, funding and investment risk.

Reviewed DR scenario baselineModel dated 2026-09-21Scenario weights 10 / 25 / 45 / 20USD per share

Model scope: Scenario-based independent research. Interactive controls are diagnostics; headline values reflect the published baseline.

Core modeling rule: Components and Systems reconcile to consolidated revenue. Management guidance anchors Base; capacity, margins, reinvestment and customer collections determine cash returns. Convert principal and premium dilution are separate; NVIDIA preferred shares participate as ordinary equity. COHR valuation conventions are shared, with Lumentum-specific operating assumptions.

Reported information, management guidance and Dilikoglu Research estimates are distinguished in Catalysts & Sources. Priors are shown in Failure / Bear / Base / Bull order.

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Photonics operating context

Cash-flow valuation

Five operating forecast years plus five transition years, discounted to June 27, 2026. Primary terminal value uses recurring EBIT; perpetuity FCFF is a separate cross-check. Guidance and independent estimates remain distinct.

Operating & funding model

Scenario assumptions — DR estimates

Explore assumptions

Risk & Monte Carlo

Simulation probabilities are DR judgment. They do not establish a recommendation or predict financing availability.

Sources & governance

Model limitations